Euro Cup 2021

Modeling and simulation of the 2021 Euro Cup.

Model Script

• fit_model.R: Estimates Bayesian bivariate Poisson model. For more details, see Equation (2) of Benz and Lopez, 2021.

Simulations

• run_sim.R: Run 10,000 simulations of the tournament
• helpers.R: Helper functions for sims.
• game_preds.R Save out predictions for indivdual games.

Data

Data (internation_soccer_score.csv) courtesy Kaggle.

Flag figures courtesy of Flaticon.

Pre-Tournament Predictions